Inter-temporal Preference for Flexibility and Risky Choice∗

نویسندگان

  • Alan Kraus
  • Jacob S. Sagi
چکیده

We derive an inter-temporal theory, in the spirit of Kreps and Porteus (1978), of changing tastes and unforeseen contingencies from normative primitives by weakening the completeness axiom of von Neumann and Morgenstern. Our agent can only partially order future decisions, yet desires inter-temporal consistency. Our formulation contrasts with existing literature in several ways: (i) the theory is inherently inter-temporal; (ii) a time consistency condition and therefore the normative connection between ex-ante and ex-post choice forces a ‘utility for flexibility’; (iii) we deduce conditions under which a subjective state space for unforeseen contingencies is topologically unique and derive its existence from preference primitives as opposed to the representation; Finally, our theory reduces to standard recursive utility when the agent can completely order future decisions.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Can a single model account for both risky choices and inter-temporal choices? Testing the assumptions underlying models of risky inter-temporal choice.

There is growing interest in modelling how people make choices that involve both risks and delays, i.e., risky inter-temporal choices. We investigated an untested assumption underlying several proposed risky inter-temporal choice models: that pure risky choices and pure inter-temporal choices are special cases of risky inter-temporal choice. We tested this assumption by presenting a single grou...

متن کامل

Exploring the Concept of Utility: Are Separate Value Functions required for Risky and Inter-temporal Choice?

Utility based models are common in both the risky and intertemporal choice literatures. Recently there have been efforts to formulate models of choices which involve both risks and time delays. An important question then is whether the concept of utility is the same for risky and inter-temporal choices. We address this question by fitting versions of two popular utility based models, Cumulative...

متن کامل

Flexibility and the Demand for Risky Assets

To a decisionmaker facing a choice over a set of risky prospects the issue of ‘flexibility’, i.e., the ability to postpone other decisions until after the uncertainty is resolved, is a crucial one. Tisdell (1963) for example, has shown that the well known ‘preference’ of a risk neutral firm for random over constant prices (with the same mean) reduces to indifference when it is assumed that the ...

متن کامل

People Wait Longer when the Alternative is Risky: The Relation Between Preferences in Risky and Inter-temporal Choice

In two experiments, we demonstrate that despite indicating indifference when probed about risk or delay in isolation, when forced to explicitly trade-off between the two, participants prefer delayed over risky rewards. This pattern of findings sets a boundary condition for any common utility-based comparison process involving both risk and delay. Furthermore, this change from indifference-in-is...

متن کامل

An experimental investigation

Myopic loss aversion (MLA) has been established as one prominent explanation for the equity premium puzzle. In this paper we address two issues related to the effects of MLA on risky investment decisions. First, we assess the relative impact of feedback frequency and investment flexibility (via the investment horizon) on risky investments. Second, given that we observe higher investments with a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002